As a supplement to the annual Using MCAT Data in 2024 Medical Student Selection, this page features national data on medical student outcomes from the most recent cohorts available. The tables below describe how well undergraduate GPAs and MCAT scores predict medical student performance on the Step 1 exam (first attempt), the Step 2 CK exam (first attempt), on-time progression to year three, and graduation from medical school within four or five years. Examining the associations of undergraduate GPAs and MCAT scores with these varied outcomes provides different insights about the likelihood of success for applicants with different ranges of undergraduate GPAs and MCAT scores.
You can also download a printable PDF of these tables.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2018, 2019, and 2020 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Passed the Step 1 Exam on the First Attempt, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = pass rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = pass rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = pass rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis. Data show an overall drop in pass rate on the Step 1 exam for the 2022 examinees relative to recent years. See https://www.usmle.org/early-release-usmle-step-1-2022-summary-performance for more information.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2017, 2018, and 2019 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Passed the Step 2 CK Exam on the First Attempt, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = pass rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = pass rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = pass rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2017, 2018, and 2019 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Progressed to Year Three on Time, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = progression rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = progression rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = progression rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis. Students who entered medical school with advanced standing from medical, graduate, or other programs; were enrolled in joint programs (e.g., MD-PhD) at the time of matriculation or graduation; participated in special research/nonresearch studies; or are deceased are not included in this table.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2017, 2018, and 2019 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Progressed to Year Three in Three Years, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = progression rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = progression rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = progression rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis. Students who entered medical school with advanced standing from medical, graduate, or other programs; were enrolled in joint programs (e.g., MD-PhD) at the time of matriculation or graduation; participated in special research/nonresearch studies; or are deceased are not included in this table.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2015, 2016, and 2017 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Graduated Within Four Years, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = progression rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = progression rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = progression rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis. Students who entered medical school with advanced standing from medical, graduate, or other programs; were enrolled in joint programs (e.g., MD-PhD) at the time of matriculation or graduation; participated in special research or nonresearch studies; or are deceased are not included in this table.
Percentage and Number of Students Entering Medical School in 2015, 2016, and 2017 With Scores From the Current MCAT Exam Who Graduated Within Five Years, by MCAT Total Score and Undergraduate GPA Range
Note: Blue shading (•) = progression rates of 90%-100%; green shading (○) = progression rates of 80%-89%; orange shading (+) = progression rates of 70%-79%. Dashes = cells with fewer than 10 observations; blank cells = cells with zero observations. For students who took the MCAT exam multiple times, the most recent MCAT total score was used in this analysis. Students who entered medical school with advanced standing from medical, graduate, or other programs; were enrolled in joint programs (e.g., MD-PhD) at the time of matriculation or graduation; participated in special research or nonresearch studies; or are deceased are not included in this table.