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Physician Workforce Projections

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The 2019 Update: The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections from 2017 to 2032

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This 2019 update continues to reflect the AAMC’s commitment to regularly update projections and to refine scenarios that reflect the best available evidence on trends in health care delivery and the physician workforce. Key trends likely to affect the supply and demand for health care services were identified and modeled under multiple supply and demand scenarios. Projections for individual specialties were aggregated into five broad categories for reporting, consistent with specialty groupings designated by the American Medical Association. These include primary care, medical specialties, surgical specialties, and “other” specialties — with primary care-trained hospitalists reported as a fifth category starting with the 2017 report.

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