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AAMC Center for Workforce Studies

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Current evidence suggests that the United States is headed toward an aggregate shortage of physicians.


Given the extended time required to increase U.S. medical school capacity, and to educate and train physicians, the nation must begin now to increase medical school and GME capacity to meet the needs of the nation in 2015 and beyond.

In addition, a vigorous effort should be undertaken to determine, among other factors, how people use physicians' services over time, the impact of changes in the composition of the physician workforce, and how physician productivity changes over the course of a career. The association has established the AAMC Center for Workforce Studies to assist in this effort.

Featured Publications and Initiatives

2008 Physician Specialty Data (PDF, 45 pages)
This updated report provides comparative data on active physicians and physicians in training in specialties with more than 2,500 active physicians. It includes data on type of education and location, age, and gender by specialty as well as trends over time in the number in training and practicing in each specialty. The report includes figures and tables and will be published biennially.

The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections Through 2025
Using the most recently available data, a new report by the AAMC Center for Workforce Studies projects future supply and demand for physicians and concludes that a national shortage is likely. (November 2008)  

2007 State Physician Workforce Data Book (PDF, 39 pages)
This updated report examines the active physician supply in each state, as well as current medical school enrollment and physicians in graduate medical education (GME) programs. The report includes tables with the actual numbers that are presented visually in the figures.

 

Medical School Enrollment Plans Through 2013: Analysis of the 2008 AAMC Survey (PDF, 14 pages)
Based on the 2008 Medical School Dean's Enrollment Survey, and an appraisal of future U.S. medical school in the accreditation process, the AAMC estimates first year U.S. M.D. enrollment will grow to 19,946 in 2013 a growth of 21 percent from the 16,488 in 2002.

Recent Studies and Reports on Physician Shortages in the U.S. (PDF, 15 pages)
Over the past several years, a growing number of studies examining the U.S. physician workforce have concluded that we are facing current or future shortages. This report provides a summary of these studies, highlighting the major conclusions of the findings. (April 2009)

Addressing Healthcare Workforce Issues for the Future (PDF, 11 pages)
AAMC testimony on health care workforce before the Senate HELP Committee by Edward Salsberg, Feb. 12, 2008

The Upcoming Doctor Shortage
Edward Salsberg was a guest on the Kojo Nnamdi Show on WAMU-FM in Washington, D.C., to discuss physician workforce issues in Maryland.

AAMC Workforce Position

AAMC Statement on the Physician Workforce (PDF, 9 pages)
Concerned that future demand for physicians will outstrip supply, the AAMC supports a 30 percent increase in U.S. medical school enrollment by 2015.

Questions and Answers About the AAMC's Physician Workforce Position (PDF, 3 pages)

 

"Help Wanted: More U.S. Doctors"

Baseline Physician FTE Supply and Demand Projections, 2006-2025

Meeting Resources

2009 AAMC Annual Meeting
November 6-11, 2009 - Boston

2009 Annual AAMC Physician Workforce Research Conference
See presentations from the AAMC's Fifth Annual Physician Workforce Research Conference, held April 29–May 1 in Washington, D.C.

2008 AAMC Annual Meeting Presentations
The Center for Workforce Studies conducted several presentations at the Annual Meeting in San Antonio, including an Annual Address on the state of the physician workforce by Edward Salsberg.

2008 Annual AAMC Physician Workforce Research Conference
View presentations from the 2008 Workforce Research Conference.

More Past Meetings

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