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Government Affairs Home > Washington Highlights > August 30, 2002

CBO Projects Larger Budget Deficits

August 30, 2002-New federal budget projections released by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Aug. 27 indicate that sharp declines in tax revenues and double-digit growth in spending will produce an even larger than expected budget deficit in FY 2002. CBO's mid-year review, The Budget and Economic Outlook: an Update, projects deficits of $157 billion for FY 2002 and $145 billion in FY 2003, assuming current tax and spending policies remain unchanged. In March of this year, CBO had projected surpluses of $5 billion for FY 2002 and $6 billion for FY 2003.

CBO projects that tax revenues will fall by $131 billion in FY 2002, a 6.6 percent decrease that is the largest percentage decline in tax revenues since 1946. At the same time, CBO predicts outlays will rise in FY 2002 by $153 billion (8 percent). This includes a 13 percent increase in discretionary spending, split almost evenly between defense (up $43 billion) and non-defense (up $41 billion) programs.

The new deficit projections will likely help drive further efforts by the White House and conservative Republicans on Capitol Hill to limit spending. GOP conservatives in the House are pressing the leadership to move the Labor-HHS appropriations bill as soon as Congress returns from the August recess. However, it now appears the House Labor-HHS-Education Subcommittee, which was tentatively scheduled to consider the bill on Sept. 5, will not act until the second week of September at the earliest.

Information:
Dave Moore, Senior Director
AAMC Government Relations
dbmoore@aamc.org
(202) 828-0525

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