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Government Affairs Home > Washington Highlights > January 25, 2002

CBO, OMB Project Deficits for FYs 2002 and 2003

January 25, 2002 - In testimony Jan. 23 before both the House and Senate Budget Committees, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Dan L. Crippen presented a bleak forecast for the next several years. In place of the record surpluses predicted last year, CBO now projects total federal budget deficits of $21 billion for FY 2002 and $14 billion for FY 2003.

The current FY 2002 deficit projection of $21 billion represents a change of more than $300 billion from CBO's January 2001 projection of a $313 billion surplus. Mr. Crippen told the committees that more than 70 percent of this reduction results from the weak economy and related technical factors, which have considerably lowered the revenues expected for this year and the next. He also noted that discretionary spending in FY 2002 - including $20 billion in supplemental spending enacted in December as part of the response to the September 11 attacks - was $711 billion, $45 billion more than CBO assumed last January.

Meanwhile, Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Director Mitchell E. Daniels, Jr., released the Administration's latest budget estimates during a Jan. 23 briefing for reporters. OMB estimates the FY 2002 deficit will be $106 billion and the FY 2003 deficit will be $80 billion. The OMB deficit numbers are higher than CBO's because they reflect proposed policy changes, including additional supplemental spending promised this year for farmers, homeland security, and defense and the White House's FY 2003 plans to increase the defense budget by 14 percent and double homeland security spending.

Information:

Dave Moore, Senior Associate Vice President
AAMC Government Relations
dbmoore@aamc.org
(202) 828-0525

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